Sunday, May 17, 2009

Condo-style HDB flats selling well



 
 

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via Lushhomemedia by luxuryasiahome on 5/16/09


Account manager Samuel Lee and his wife were among those who bought a five-room flat at Parc Lumiere in Simei.

Although the recently launched condo- style HDB project offers something more than a regular HDB flat, its location – more than anything else – was what sealed the $477,000 deal for Mr Lee, 27.

'Facilities-wise, it can't beat The Peak and Natura Loft,' he said, referring to two similar projects.

'It's the location. It is literally just across the road from my in-laws'.'

Thanks to buyers like him, Parc Lumiere is nearly sold out, even though its first-come, first-served sale method meant that many buyers had to brave the heat and queue for hours before they got to book a unit.

However, those keen on a condo-style HDB flat – or what HDB terms a Design, Build and Sell Scheme (DBSS) flat – need not fret because there are still units available.

The 360-unit Parc Lumiere, for instance, has 30 five-room units left for sale, while the 480-unit Natura Loft in Bishan has more than 100 five-room units left.

DBSS projects are designed, built and sold by private developers.

They are ungated and are subject to public housing rules, such as the $8,000 household income ceiling, ethnic quota and a five-year minimum occupation period.

But unlike regular HDB flats, they offer condo-style fittings and layouts.

There are balconies, bay windows and timber flooring in the bedrooms. The kitchen comes with built-in cabinets and the rooms with built-in wardrobes.

They do not come cheap though. As HSR Property Group executive director Eric Cheng said: 'DBSS projects offer very good concepts, interior finishes and layouts, but the only problem is the price. Those with insufficient CPF savings will feel the pinch of the premium for those extras.'

ERA Asia Pacific associate director Eugene Lim pointed out that at their current pricing of $500,000 to $730,000, DBSS flats are priced just a shade below mass market condos in the range of $650,000 to $900,000. 'There is already a slight overlap,' he said.

Property agents said last month before the launch of Parc Lumiere and The Peak that there might be some resistance if DBSS flats were priced above $500,000, particularly given the recession.

Prices at the 1,203-unit The Peak @ Toa Payoh go up to $722,000. At Natura Loft, developer Qingjian Realty said five-room units are available at $590,000 to $739,000, or from $456 per square foot to $578 psf.

PropNex spokesman Adam Tan said that while DBSS projects come with designer furnishings that are typical of condominium units, buyers need to be aware of the fact that outside of one's door, the environment is like that of an HDB estate.

'There are no facilities like pools,' he said.

DBSS projects are for those who want the interior atmosphere of a condo but not the facilities and the relatively hefty maintenance charges that come with them, he added.

HSR's Mr Cheng said DBSS flat buyers are also buying a home in a conducive environment that has been carefully planned by the developer. DBSS flats are also usually in very tall blocks, and some have high ceilings typical of private flats.

Indeed, each DBSS project is different in design and size. Each will attempt to offer features that promise a bit more exclusivity than your regular HDB estate.

Parc Lumiere and Natura Loft offer elevated landscape decks. The Peak has a card-access security system at all ground-floor lift lobbies.

At Park Central in Ang Mo Kio, the rooftop garden above the carpark features a 400m jogging track.

Unlike regular flats, DBSS projects may offer premium appliances. Natura Loft, for instance, offers rain showers and Electrolux cooker hobs, while The Peak offers Daikin air-conditioning systems.

Currently, there is just one other vacant DBSS site in Bedok Reservoir Crescent, but the Government has yet to launch it for sale.

Although falling private-home prices have presented low-end home buyers with more options, some have their hearts firmly set on a DBSS project.

Mr Lee, for instance, compared Parc Lumiere to a Melville Park condo apartment but decided against the smaller unit in the latter.

'I've also considered the resale value. When the Tampines DBSS project came out, people said the price was very high. Now, based on the experience of the Tampines DBSS, I don't think we will lose out.'

In late 2006, the first DBSS project, Premiere @ Tampines, drew nearly 6,000 applications for 616 flats priced from $138,000 to $450,000. Housing prices have risen since.

But whether DBSS buyers can make a profit on resale will depend on how the mass market moves, said ERA's Mr Lim.

For DBSS flats to be resold at say $600,000 to $850,000, mass market condo prices will need to move up higher to between $800,000 and more than $1 million, he said.

'This is possible if there is another economic boom that brings all-round prosperity and the whole property market moves up across all categories,' said Mr Lim.

'Whether it can happen in seven to eight years, it is difficult to predict. If it does happen, it will likely be a window period for these DBSS flat owners to make the resale profits. Usually, the best time to sell a new flat on the resale market is when it is about five to eight years old. Thereafter, prices may dip again.'

Source : Sunday Times – 17 May 2009


 
 

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春芽有幾何,復甦待未來



 
 

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Saturday, May 16, 2009

Private home sales strong



 
 

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via Lushhomemedia by luxuryasiahome on 5/15/09


SALES of new private homes continued to boom in April, almost matching the frenetic pace of activity set in both February and March this year.

Some 1,207 units were sold during the month as more were launched by developers keen to take advantage of increased buying momentum, partly fuelled by stock market rises. This compares with sales of 1,220 units in March and 1,332 in February.

Last month, developers launched 1,083 new homes, up from 832 in March, according to data released yesterday by the Urban Redevelopment Authority.

The latest figures mean that developer sales for the first four months of the year equate to around 88 per cent of all such sales last year. The two best-selling projects in April were Mi Casa in Choa Chu Kang and The Arte in Jalan Datoh. Buyers picked up 115 units of Mi Casa at a median price of $639 per sq ft (psf), while 110 units of The Arte were sold at a median price of $903 psf.

Suburban projects remained the most popular. Some 523 suburban units were sold during the month, down from 559 units in March and 840 in February.

In April, the lowest-priced non-landed deal was in Bayou Residence, where a unit with a rooftop garden was transacted at just $300 psf.

The month saw increased launches and sales activity in the core central region. Some 339 homes were launched there – five times the 70 units in March and the most since September 2007.

Certain prime projects with median prices from $1,156 psf to $1,703 psf were popular with buyers, said CBRE Research. It pointed out that projects such as the sold-out 72-unit Illuminaire On Devonshire, RV Suites and Attitude At Kim Yam were successful because of the low absolute quantum price per unit – they comprised mostly small-format units of 330 sq ft to 720 sq ft.

Ms Jacqueline Wong, head of residential at Jones Lang LaSalle, said: 'Buying appetite is returning for new developments that are reasonably priced. For example, Verdure by Bukit Sembawang on Holland Road, with a median price of $1,416 psf, roughly translates to below $2 million for a home in Holland Road.'

Said Mr David Neubronner, executive director, residential at Credo Real Estate: 'The perception of the market is changing. Certain quarters feel that prices may not go down very much from current levels. Some new launches this year started selling at slightly lower prices to soak in demand, but they are now raising their prices by a little.'

Still, some of those who launched earlier at higher prices continue to cut.

Yesterday, CapitaLand released 100 units at the 999-year leasehold The Wharf Residence off Mohamed Sultan Road at $1,300 psf to $1,600 psf. To entice buyers, it is waiving stamp duty and offering interest absorption. Prices are down from a range of $1,429 to $1,708 psf in the third quarter of last year.

CBRE Research executive director Li Hiaw Ho said: 'Based on the price range of the units sold in April and May, we are seeing a stabilisation of prices in contrast with the 14.1 per cent quarter-on-quarter record decline in the first quarter.'

However, while the mass and mid-markets have found their equilibrium, high-end developers may still have to lower prices if they want to sell now, said Mr Neubronner.

Property experts warned that April's pace is unlikely to be sustained, given that Singapore remains in a recession.

'Many homebuyers are purchasing new homes in the hope that the property market would recover shortly,' said Knight Frank director of research and consultancy Nicholas Mak.

Mr Neubronner added that prices could possibly hover around current levels for the next 12 months.

Dr Chua Yang Liang, head of research, South-east Asia, at Jones Lang LaSalle, added: 'Until there are clear signals of a stabilisation and underlying positive growth in the real economy, the residual pent-up demand alone cannot be expected to lift the residential market in the long term.'

Source : Straits Times – 16 May 2009


 
 

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Friday, May 15, 2009

Chips: Profit-Taking Time?



 
 

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Has the time come to take profit in chip stocks? The sector has been on a tear, with the SOX up 45% since the November bottom. Citigroup's Glen Yeung wrote a note this morning which pointed out that "investors are naturally considering taking profits," and that that this will likely be the case in the near term.

Adding fuel to the profit-taking theory, Yeung says, is a peaking ratio of upward/total earnings estimate revisions, and "seasonal trading patterns that typically point to some retrenchment" in the June quarter. He notes that "data points have been more mixed" in Q2 than in the first quarter, when demand improved sequentially on wide-spread inventory replenishment.

While anticipating some selling pressure, he does not expect new lows for the chip stocks, given signs of economic improvement and stabilization, if not necessarily improvement, in end demand. He advising buying the stocks on pullbacks, and in particular recommends Intel (INTC), Qualcomm (QCOM), Altera (ALTR) and Nvidia (NVDA).

Likewise, Kaufman Bros. analyst Suji De Silva today wrote that the April inventory workdown has left many segments with healthy or even lean inventories, with spot shortages of some components. But he says checks find May and June trading flat sequentially, "with some potential for a slight retracement." De Silva confesses to "doubts of a larger improving trend beyond that executed in April." De Silva does see some specific growth drivers, including China government stimulus, smart phoens and netbooks, and advises seeking plays on those trends. In smartphones, he sees Skyworks (SWKS) and Cypress Semiconductor (CY) as well positioned; in the consumer/digital TV area, he is "constructive" on Pericom Semiconductor (PSEM), MIPS Technologies (MIPS), Broadcom (BRCM) and Zoran (ZRAN).

Broadpoint.Amtech chip analyst Doug Freedman agrees that "seasonal patterns could pressure semis in the near-term, but writes in a research note today that a second leg of the semi rally could come later this year, driven by select product upside and recovery in lagging end markets. "We are making the call that semis may trade a little lower as we have normal seasonal trade patterns forming, but we dno think any sell-off will be very deep," he writes, and advises using pullback to add to favorite names. Freedman says a broader recovery should drive up shares of Texas Instruments (TXN), National Semiconductor (NSM) and Intel (INTC); later in the year he would consider rotating into recovery laggards with exposure to autos and the industrial sector.

Meanwhile, IDC reported today that worldwide PC microprocessor unit shipments fell 10.9% sequentially in the first quarter, after a 17% sequential drop in Q4 from Q3. Units were down 13% on a year-over-year basis in the quarter. On a revenue basis, the sector was down 11% sequentially, after an 18% drop in Q4, and down 25.1% from a year ago.

IDC estimates that Intel's Atom processor shipments were down 33% sequentially in the quarter, which is consistent with Intel's own comments, with OEMs holding significant inventory coming into the new year. IDC said Atom processors were about 21% of Intel's processor shipments in the quarter, and 6.5% of the company's processor revenues.

Intel's processor market share was 77.3%, down 4.7%, while AMD had 22.3% share, up 4.6%.

For Q2, IDC sees a modest sequential decline in processor unit shipments.

The SOX today is down 5.18, or 2.1%, to 243.68.


 
 

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德国今明两年将出现创纪录预算赤字



 
 

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via FT中文网 - FTChinese.com - 今日焦点 by 英国《金融时报》伯特兰•贝努瓦(Bertrand Benoit)柏林报道 on 5/15/09

德国财政部长佩尔•施泰因布吕克(Peer Steinbruck)昨日表示,随着经济危机使税收收入大幅下降,德国政府今年将出现战后最大的预算赤字。

施泰因布吕克承认,2009年德国联邦政府赤字将超过500亿欧元(合680亿美元),明年还将升至900亿欧元,是1996创下的400亿欧元纪录的两倍多,当时德国是为了消化两德统一的巨大成本。与此相反,去年的联邦赤字只有119亿欧元。

上述预算赤字数据是基于德国官方昨天公布的税收收入预测得出的,它们表明,今、明两年德国将严重违反欧盟的财政规则。柏林预计,今年德国经济将萎缩6%,成为上世纪30年代"大萧条"以来的最严重萎缩。

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Banyan Tree’s Q1 net falls 66% to 5.2m



 
 

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via EdgeSingapore RSS on 5/14/09

Mainboard-listed Banyan Tree Holdings, a manager and developer of premium resorts, hotels, spas and galleries, today said the group registered revenue of $88.2 million and PATMI of $5.2 million in 1Q09, a decrease of 33% and 66% compared to the same period last year (1Q08).

The Hotel Investment segment achieved revenue of $58 million in 1Q09, an improvement of 10% compared to 4Q08, which was also a traditional peak season of the year.

With a reprieve from the political crisis in Thailand in 1Q09, its resorts in Thailand performed well with overall occupancy improving from 52% in 4Q08 to 60% in 1Q09. Overall Revpar also increased by 20% from $179 to $214. The Maldives region continued its strong sales growth in 1Q09. Occupancy was 87%, an increase of 21% points compared to 4Q08 while Revpar increased by 21%.

The Hotel Residences segment and Property Sales segment recorded a combined revenue of $8.7 million, a decrease of 77% or $29 million compared to 1Q08.

The group's total operating expenses for first quarter of 2009 decreased by 29% in all category of expenses, largely due to lower revenue and cost-cutting initiatives implemented group-wide. The group's overall cash and cash equivalents decreased 37% from $85.9 million in 1Q08 to $53.9 million in 1Q09 mainly due to lower profit generated in the current quarter.

Banyan Tree said the current political instability in Thailand will affect tourist arrivals. As at 4 May, it has received cancellations amounting to $523,000 in rooms revenue for Thailand. The cancellations represent 5% of total on-the-book (OTB) revenue (ie forward booking reservation).

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Golden Agri’s profit plunges to $12.6m on palm oil prices



 
 

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via EdgeSingapore RSS on 5/14/09

Golden Agri-Resources, owner of the world's second-largest oil palm plantation, said first-quarter profit dropped 94% as prices plunged, reported Bloomberg.

Net income fell to US$8.6 million ($12.6 million) in the three months ended March 31 from US$135.7 million a year earlier, the company said in a statement to the Singapore stock exchange. Sales declined 45% to US$412.2 million.


 
 

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消息清淡中的盤整



 
 

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Temasek lost about US$4.6b on Merrill investment, WSJ says



 
 

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via EdgeSingapore RSS on 5/14/09

Temasek Holdings realised a US$4.6 billion ($6.7 billion) loss on its investment in Merrill Lynch & Co. after selling its holding in Merrill's owner Bank of America Corp., The Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar  with the matter, reported Bloomberg.
 
Temasek, Singapore's state-owned investment company, sold its Bank of America stake at an average US$7 a share in tranches to multiple buyers, the report said.


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Ho Bee sees Q1 profit climb 43%



 
 

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via Lushhomemedia by luxuryasiahome on 5/14/09


HO Bee Investment saw first quarter earnings climb 43 per cent to $37.3 million, from $26.1 million a year ago, as it recognised more revenue from its property developments.

Turnover for the Q1 2009 rose 17 per cent to $110 million, up from $94.2 million in Q1 2008.

Barring any unforeseen circumstances, the group is expected to remain profitable this year through strong earnings recognition on residential projects that were previously sold – in particular, The Coast, Paradise Island and Orange Grove Residences, which have recently received or will soon receive TOP, Ho Bee said.

Source : Business Times – 14 May 2009


 
 

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They’re not out of the woods yet



 
 

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via Lushhomemedia by luxuryasiahome on 5/14/09


PCOMING supply and concerns about payment defaults by customers on the deferred payment scheme (DPS) are some reasons the luxury residential segment is not out of the woods yet, according to UOB Kay Hian analyst Vikram Pandey.

In a research report dated May 12, he said 2,665 units would hit the high-end market this year, followed by 3,182 next year and a whopping 5,245 units in 2011, based on official data.

"With an increasing number of units in the high-end segment targeted for completion yearly to 2012, the high-end segment is starting to resemble a massive construction worksite. The sheer amount of work being carried out in areas like Orchard Road and Sentosa serves as a stark reminder of the demand-supply imbalance in the high-end segment," wrote Mr Pandey.

He also expects the risk of customer defaults to be "heightened" by the progressive completion of developments and units sold under the DPS.

"As a result, consumer confidence in the high-end segment is expected to remain weak."

In contrast, Mr Pandey said, consumer confidence has returned to the mass market and mid-tier segments, indicated by the surge in liquidity in the first quarter this year.

Citing the brokerage analysts' visits to recent launches in Balestier and Choa Chu Kang, he noted the crowds consisted mainly of families. "This seems to suggest purchases were being made for owner-occupation rather than investment."

He said: "We expect demand-supply dynamics to remain favourable in the mass market and mid-tier segments."

When it comes to stock picks, however, counters linked to high-end developers remained on Mr Pandey's list. He said, despite the recent surge in stock prices, he continued to see "good value" in property stocks.

For one, home prices have so far declined by between 30 and 40 per cent from their peak at the end of 2007 – which is less than UOB Kay Hian's projection of a 50-per-cent fall, he said.

Consequently, the brokerage has raised its target prices for nine counters by an average of 35 per cent. This also takes into account a default rate of 30 per cent on units bought under the DPS and resold at a 40-per-cent discount to the original selling prices.

Source : Today – 14 May 2009


 
 

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經濟的春天來了嗎?



 
 

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